Expect A Market Rebound
Today's pessimism dismisses history's
lessons
By Ric Eldeman USA Today 12/31/2008
From a stock market
perspective, the best news about 2008 is that it's over. Sure,
the economy is still weak, but don't assume that the stock
market will remain so. Indeed, stock prices are likely to recover
well before the economy. That's because prices reflect investor
expectations of future corporate profits. Because we can envision
profits before they are earned, stock prices can rise ahead
of any economic rebound. We are already seeing positive signs.
The drop in gas prices since July is the equivalent of a $300
billion stimulus package. Furthermore, panicked investors have
been selling so many shares for so many months that, according
to Bloomberg, 2,267 companies now hold more cash than the total
value of their stock and debt. So you could buy all the shares
of any of these companies, shutter them, pay off their debt
-- and still have a tidy profit.
A look
at three Park City neighborhoods:
• Old Town. All the
residences are within walking distance of restaurants, shops
and the Town Ski Lift. Older two-bedroom condos built in the
1980s start at about $500,000, and single-family houses run
$1.1 million to $3.2 million. The latest addition is the Sky
Lodge (theskylodge.com), a luxury condo hotel and residence
renovated from several existing historic buildings. Numerous
ownership opportunities include fractional deeds starting at
$269,000 for a two-bedroom.
• Deer
Valley. Anchored by the eponymous ski resort, the master-planned
community spans about 3,500 acres with capacity for about 2,000
units, mostly condos and townhouses and a few very expensive
single-family houses. Original slope-side units from the 1980s
start at about $1.75 million for a three-bedroom townhouse,
while new similar-sized townhouses run over $4 million. Single-family
houses range from $5 million to $24 million. Also, two-bedroom
condos without ski access start at $750,000. At the Talisker
Club (taliskerclub.com),
a 10,000-acre private community adjacent to Deer Valley, home
sites begin at $450,000 and single-family houses at $1.45 million.
• The Canyons. The
largest of the town's ski resorts, The Canyons (thecanyons.com)
also is the leader in real-estate development. Myriad options
range from hotel ownership to condos, townhouses, single-family
houses and multi-acre estate homes. "You can get new condo
construction for as little as $700 per square foot, less than
$1 million for a one-bedroom, and you can get condos from the
1970s for as little as $250,000,
> More on Park City
communities...